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In economic terms, this conflicted decision is often modeled like a trade-off involving the end result utility gained by hedging (e.g., funds) plus the diagnostic fees it incurs (e.g., disloyalty). People make inferences regarding their beliefs and identity from their behavior. If somebody is uncertain about an aspect of his / her identification, such as the extent to which he / she values a prospect or workforce, hedging could signal to her or him that he / she is not really as committed to that candidate or team as he / she at first considered. When the diagnostic expense of this self-sign and the ensuing identification improve are substantial, it might outweigh the end result utility of hedging, and she or he could reject even pretty generous hedges.[59]
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Ratio bias. Gamblers will prefer gambles with worse odds which have been drawn from a large sample (e.g., drawing just one red ball from an urn that contains 89 pink balls and 11 blue balls) to better odds which might be drawn from a little sample (drawing just one purple ball from an urn containing nine purple balls and 1 blue ball).[60]
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